Season workbench
Sabr-Jev
Season stats lie by omission. The verdict below says act, review, or set aside — with full probabilities, never hype.
Showing 25 of 50 — empty combinations are not offered.
- Sandy Alcantara · 2022
- Shane Bieber · 2020
- Corbin Burnes · 2021
- Gerrit Cole · 2023
- Jacob deGrom · 2020
- Jacob deGrom · 2021
- Jacob deGrom · 2024
- Zac Gallen · 2023
- Shota Imanaga · 2024
- Clayton Kershaw · 2022
- Shohei Ohtani · 2022
- Robbie Ray · 2021
- Chris Sale · 2024
- Paul Skenes · 2024
- Paul Skenes · 2025
- Tarik Skubal · 2024
- Blake Snell · 2023
- Gregory Soto · 2024
- Justin Steele · 2023
- Spencer Strider · 2023
- Framber Valdez · 2022
- Justin Verlander · 2022
- Logan Webb · 2023
- Zack Wheeler · 2024
- Zack Wheeler · 2025
Jacob deGrom · 2021 · pitcher
- FIP
- 1.193
- ERA
- 1.076
- K-BB%
- 0.417
| IP | 92.000 |
|---|---|
| HR/9 | 0.587 |
| BB/9 | 1.076 |
| K/9 | 14.283 |
Evidence — previous season(s) in catalog
For context, not model input. The model saw only this season's numbers.
| Metric | 2021 (this season) | 2020 (degroja01) |
|---|---|---|
| FIP | 1.19 | 2.29 |
| ERA | 1.08 | 2.38 |
| IP | 92.000 | 68.000 |
| K-BB% | 0.417 | 0.321 |
Sample: 92.000 IP (minimum 50) · qualified
No data warnings.
Model read
breakout provisional thresholds
The supplied metrics jointly support an unusually strong positive season read.
The metrics provide a strong and coherent signal.
- Signal
- strong (62.0%)
- Read confidence
- 48.0%
Confidence clears the bar collectively — act on this read.
Verdict reflects the model's read of this season alone. Outcome in the Oracle pane is historical fact — they are independent and may not align.
Shows its work — audit trail
- Model
- jev-1.13.0
- Recorded
- 2026-09-21T18:57:35Z
- State hash
sha256:807899bf7af6…- Questions hash
sha256:6635e0fc7d7a…- Card artifact
-
priv/data/cards.json
- confidence_in_signal: review
- fip_rise_ge_0_50_next: review
- profile: act
- season_read: review
Recommended read: breakout
- confidence_in_signal: strong (62.0% confidence)
- fip_rise_ge_0_50_next: P(true) 24.0% (76.0% confidence)
- profile: strikeout (93.0% confidence)
- season_read: breakout (48.0% confidence)
Oracle — retrospective eval-only pane, never sent to Jev
| Metric | 2021 | 2022 | Change (actual outcome) |
|---|---|---|---|
| FIP | 1.19 | 2.19 | ▲ rose +1.0 (target: rise ≥ 0.50) |
Target: fip_rise_ge_0_50_next · Label: true · Season: 2022
Outcome ≠ recommendation. Change flag shows what historically happened; the read above shows what the model recommended at the time. No correlation is implied.
At the time, the model projected 24.0% chance
of noul
change. Actual outcome is in the table above.
Evaluation status
Prospective evaluation: accuracy pending. No accuracy claim is made.
2024 → 2025 joins are retrospective plumbing only. The local ledger is hash chained but cannot prove external capture time.