Season workbench

Sabr-Jev

Season stats lie by omission. The verdict below says act, review, or set aside — with full probabilities, never hype.

Showing 25 of 50 — empty combinations are not offered.

Paul Skenes · 2025 · pitcher

FIP
2.447
ERA
1.966
K-BB%
0.237
IP187.667
HR/90.528
BB/92.014
K/910.359

Evidence — previous season(s) in catalog

For context, not model input. The model saw only this season's numbers.

Metric 2025 (this season) 2024 (skenepa01)
FIP2.45 2.52
ERA1.97 1.96
IP187.667 133.000
K-BB%0.237 0.268

Sample: 187.667 IP (minimum 50) · qualified

No data warnings.

Model read

breakout provisional thresholds

The supplied metrics jointly support an unusually strong positive season read.

Confidence 41.0% · 79.0% signal · strong

The metrics provide a strong and coherent signal.

Signal
strong (79.0%)
Read confidence
41.0%

Confidence clears the bar collectively — act on this read.

Verdict reflects the model's read of this season alone. Outcome in the Oracle pane is historical fact — they are independent and may not align.

Shows its work — audit trail
Model
jev-1.13.0
Recorded
2026-09-21T17:59:44Z
State hash
sha256:917d779bc581…
Questions hash
sha256:65081570c08a…
Card artifact
priv/data/cards.json
  • confidence_in_signal: act
  • profile: act
  • season_read: escalate

Recommended read: breakout

  • confidence_in_signal: strong (79.0% confidence)
  • profile: strikeout (85.0% confidence)
  • season_read: breakout (41.0% confidence)

Oracle

No oracle — next season unavailable in the frozen source.

Evaluation status

Prospective evaluation: accuracy pending. No accuracy claim is made.

2024 → 2025 joins are retrospective plumbing only. The local ledger is hash chained but cannot prove external capture time.