Season workbench

Sabr-Jev

Season stats lie by omission. The verdict below says act, review, or set aside — with full probabilities, never hype.

Showing 25 of 50 — empty combinations are not offered.

Spencer Strider · 2023 · pitcher

FIP
2.858
ERA
3.857
K-BB%
0.292
IP186.667
HR/91.061
BB/92.796
K/913.548

No previous season in frozen catalog for evidence comparison.

Sample: 186.667 IP (minimum 50) · qualified

No data warnings.

Model read

breakout provisional thresholds

The supplied metrics jointly support an unusually strong positive season read.

Confidence 14.0% · 34.0% signal · strong

The metrics provide a strong and coherent signal.

Signal
strong (34.0%)
Read confidence
14.0%

Confidence is mixed — the full probabilities below are the verdict, not a single call.

Verdict reflects the model's read of this season alone. Outcome in the Oracle pane is historical fact — they are independent and may not align.

Shows its work — audit trail
Model
jev-1.13.0
Recorded
2026-09-21T18:57:34Z
State hash
sha256:0aefd38f9d02…
Questions hash
sha256:65081570c08a…
Card artifact
priv/data/cards.json
  • confidence_in_signal: escalate
  • profile: act
  • season_read: escalate

Under review: full probabilities below, no single bold recommendation.

confidence_in_signal

weak 8.0%
moderate 28.0%
strong 64.0%

profile

strikeout 100.0%
command 0.0%
contact_management 0.0%
balanced 0.0%
other 0.0%

season_read

breakout 32.0%
stable 22.0%
regression_risk 31.0%
small_sample 13.0%
other 2.0%

Oracle

No oracle — next season unavailable in the frozen source.

Evaluation status

Prospective evaluation: accuracy pending. No accuracy claim is made.

2024 → 2025 joins are retrospective plumbing only. The local ledger is hash chained but cannot prove external capture time.