What would the model have said?

62 home runs. The AL record falls.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 210.86 · wOBA 0.46 · 692 PA

50/50: the first ever.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 189.49 · wOBA 0.43 · 728 PA

40/70, then the knee gave out. Did the 2023 numbers already whisper 2024?

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 167.78 · wOBA 0.43 · 735 PA

From top prospect to MVP runner-up in one summer.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 172.38 · wOBA 0.41 · 709 PA

The sophomore leap, all fields.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 158.43 · wOBA 0.38 · 719 PA

Non-tendered, then reborn in Chicago.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 132.73 · wOBA 0.37 · 556 PA

MVP-caliber while learning shortstop mid-season.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 162.66 · wOBA 0.42 · 693 PA

A .218 average with 46 homers. What even is a season?

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 129.65 · wOBA 0.35 · 669 PA

The quiet superstar, loud numbers.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 148.38 · wOBA 0.36 · 685 PA

59 doubles, sprayed to all fields.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 160.17 · wOBA 0.41 · 730 PA

A 1.59 FIP. Absurd, then and now.

ERA 2.43 · FIP 1.59 · 167.00 IP

The unanimous 2023 Cy Young.

ERA 2.63 · FIP 3.16 · 209.00 IP

A 2.25 ERA and a 3.44 FIP won the Cy Young. Which number was lying?

ERA 2.25 · FIP 3.44 · 180.00 IP

228 innings in a bullpen era.

ERA 2.28 · FIP 3.05 · 228.67 IP

281 strikeouts, then seven outs in 2024.

ERA 3.86 · FIP 2.86 · 186.67 IP

The breakout that won Detroit a Cy Young.

ERA 2.39 · FIP 2.42 · 192.00 IP

The comeback Cy Young.

ERA 2.38 · FIP 2.16 · 177.67 IP

A 1.08 ERA and 1.19 FIP over 92 innings. Greatness, interrupted.

ERA 1.08 · FIP 1.19 · 92.00 IP

A strikeout crown on a walk tightrope.

ERA 2.84 · FIP 3.73 · 193.33 IP

The other half of the two-way season.

ERA 2.33 · FIP 2.34 · 166.00 IP

A Triple Crown chase that came up one AVG point short.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 169.21 · wOBA 0.42 · 698 PA

A swing rebuilt into 37 homers and a .413 OBP.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 186.34 · wOBA 0.43 · 561 PA

MVP at 34, on a Triple Crown pace into August.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 182.28 · wOBA 0.42 · 649 PA

A no-hitter and a Cy Young, one year before the elbow.

ERA 1.75 · FIP 2.43 · 175.00 IP

45 homers and 159 RBI out of the leadoff spot.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 133.29 · wOBA 0.37 · 724 PA

A batting title after the scandal year.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 160.02 · wOBA 0.40 · 604 PA

A .337 Triple Crown flirt in the Phillies debut.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 111.14 · wOBA 0.33 · 691 PA

30/30 as a rookie; the barrel met the truss.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 128.57 · wOBA 0.35 · 714 PA

ROY in a pennant race. Then the hangover.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 134.54 · wOBA 0.37 · 645 PA

The quiet All-Star farewell in Boston.

OPS+ (Sabr-Jev) 129.15 · wOBA 0.36 · 631 PA

25 straight quality starts.

ERA 2.82 · FIP 3.00 · 201.33 IP

An ERA title at 34, his last run in LA.

ERA 2.28 · FIP 2.63 · 126.33 IP

From waiver-depth lefty to Cy Young runner-up.

ERA 3.06 · FIP 3.02 · 173.33 IP

216 hits allowed, and still an ace.

ERA 3.25 · FIP 3.17 · 216.00 IP

A 1.00 ERA April, transplanted intact.

ERA 2.91 · FIP 3.79 · 173.33 IP

A 2.24 ERA ace on a pennant ride.

ERA 3.47 · FIP 3.27 · 210.00 IP

Angry Jacob: 1.69 FIP and 104 K in 68 innings.

ERA 2.38 · FIP 2.29 · 68.00 IP